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Nadine Gazzola, et al. v. Kathleen Hochul, Governor of New York, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 22-3068 · judgment December 8, 2023


Certiorari denied · June 17, 2024
Pre-decision estimate: 10% cert probability (95% interval 6%–14%)

Before the decision, about 2.3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Second Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and down for a state or local-government respondent.

Question presented

As news broke that Dobbs would overturn Roe and Bruen would strike down the Sullivan Act, NYS Gov. Kathleen Hochul got “angry” and drove into law a firstin-class scheme targeting federally-licensed dealers in firearms with dozens of mandates under threat of criminal prosecution; along with an ammunition background check, rifle licensing, and concealed carry license standardized instruction and testing. The Second Circuit followed Hochul through the back door. It denied Petitioners’ individual standing but used derivative claims to adopt pre-Bruen scrutiny tests. It foreshadowed the status quo ante of 1,791 federallylicensed dealers in firearms in NY will be allowed to free-fall under the new mandates to somewhere short of “elimination.” Absent was an evaluation of Petitioners’ novel theory that “to keep” of “to keep and bear arms,” tested by “constitutional regulatory overburden,” can protect dealers on an equal constitutional basis as the individual. The questions presented are: Did the Second Circuit err in the Winter analysis of Petitioners’ request for preliminary injunctive relief under Fed. R. Civ. P. 65, including (1.) when it adopted pre-Bruen scrutiny testing for Second Amendment claims effecting the core rights of individuals and of derivative claims on behalf of individuals; and/or (2.) when it failed to evaluate Petitioners’ likelihood of success in their novel theory of “to keep” from “to keep and bear arms” as having independent constitutional value to protect federallylicensed dealers in firearms as measured by the standard of “constitutional regulatory overburden?”

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Paloma Appolonia Capanna
Paloma A. Capanna

For respondent
Barbara Dale Underwood
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Jun 17 2024
    Petition DENIED.
  2. May 28 2024
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/13/2024.
  3. May 24 2024
    Reply of petitioners Nadine Gazzola, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  4. May 13 2024
    Brief of respondents Kathleen Hochul, Governor of New York, et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Apr 01 2024
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including May 13, 2024.
  6. Mar 29 2024
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from April 11, 2024 to May 13, 2024, submitted to The Clerk.
  7. Mar 29 2024
    Response to motion from petitioner filed.
  8. Mar 07 2024
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due April 11, 2024)