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Public Interest Legal Foundation, Inc. v. Scott T. Nago, Chief Election Officer of the State of Hawaii

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 24-6629 · judgment April 28, 2026


5%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 3%–8%
Rule 10: circuit split argued
Conference-stage estimate: 12%

Modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a petition citing three to ten dissents, and down for a petition of 3,000 to 6,000 words and a state or local-government respondent.

Question presented

Congress enacted the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 (“NVRA”) in part to “protect the integrity of the electoral process” and “ensure that accurate and current voter registration rolls are maintained.” 52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(3)-(4). To promote transparency and accountability in voter list maintenance, Congress required states make available to the public “all records concerning the implementation of programs and activities conducted for the purpose of ensuring the accuracy and currency of official lists of eligible voters.” 52 U.S.C. § 20507(i)(1). The Ninth Circuit departed from the NVRA’s text and knowingly created a conflict with the First and the Tenth Circuits. Before the decision below, almost every court held that a statewide list of registered voters is a record within the NVRA’s scope. After the Ninth Circuit’s decision, the statewide list of registered voters is public in some places and private in others. Rights under the NVRA now depend on where someone lives. The question presented is: Whether a statewide list of registered voters is a “record[] concerning the implementation of programs and activities conducted for the purpose of ensuring the accuracy and currency of official lists of eligible voters” under 52 U.S.C. § 20507(i)(1).

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Joseph M. Nixon
Public Interest Legal Foundation, Inc.

For respondent
Thomas Joseph Hughes
Hawai'i Department of the Attorney General

Case

Subject area
Civil Rights (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
3 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Oct 16 2026
    Motion of Scott T. Nago, in his official capacity as Chief Election Officer for the State of Hawaii for an extension of time submitted.
  2. Sep 16 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including October 26, 2026.
  3. Sep 15 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from September 25, 2026 to October 26, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  4. Aug 26 2026
    Response Requested. (Due September 25, 2026)
  5. Aug 21 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Honest Elections Project filed. (Distributed)
  6. Aug 21 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Center for Election Confidence filed. (Distributed)
  7. Aug 21 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Judicial Watch, Inc. filed. (Distributed)
  8. Aug 19 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  9. Aug 13 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Scott T. Nago, in his official capacity as Chief Election Officer for the State of Hawaii to respond filed.
  10. Jul 17 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 21, 2026)