Supreme Court Report

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Juan Martinez v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, No. 24-10533 · judgment January 23, 2026


Certiorari denied · October 5, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 5% cert probability (95% interval 3%–8%)

Before the decision, modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, an Eleventh Circuit decision below, and counsel who has filed here before.

Question presented

W hether, and if so how, the doctrine of legal impossibility applies in conspiracy cases.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Caleb Edward Mason
Werksman Jackson and Quinn LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
2 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A1298

Order
Order list, October 5, 2026 · Certiorari denied

Proceedings

  1. Oct 05 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Aug 14 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Criminal Law Professors filed. (Distributed)
  3. Aug 12 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  4. Aug 11 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Quattrone Wrongful Convictions and Appellate Clinic, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  5. Aug 04 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  6. Jul 13 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 14, 2026)
  7. May 22 2026
    Application (25A1298) granted by Justice Thomas extending the time to file until July 22, 2026.
  8. May 13 2026
    Application (25A1298) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from June 22, 2026 to August 21, 2026, submitted to Justice Thomas.