Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Juan Martinez v. United States
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, No. 24-10533 · judgment January 23, 2026
4%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
Rule 10: circuit split argued
GVR risk 0%
Roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, an Eleventh Circuit decision below, and counsel who has filed here before.
Question presented
W hether, and if so how, the doctrine of legal impossibility applies in conspiracy cases.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Caleb Edward Mason
Werksman Jackson and Quinn LLP
For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General
Proceedings
- Aug 14 2026Brief amici curiae of Criminal Law Professors filed. (Distributed)
- Aug 12 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Aug 11 2026Brief amici curiae of Quattrone Wrongful Convictions and Appellate Clinic, et al. filed. (Distributed)
- Aug 04 2026Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
- Jul 13 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 14, 2026)
- May 22 2026Application (25A1298) granted by Justice Thomas extending the time to file until July 22, 2026.
- May 13 2026Application (25A1298) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from June 22, 2026 to August 21, 2026, submitted to Justice Thomas.