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Custodia Bank, Inc. v. Federal Reserve Board of Governors, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, No. 24-8024 · judgment October 31, 2025


8%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 5%–14%
Rule 10: dissent below

About 2.1× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and a business petitioner.

Question presented

Whether the Monetary Control Act, which states that the Federal Reserve “shall” provide its services to legally eligible nonmember depository institutions, 12 U.S.C. 248a(c)(2), gives presidents of regional Federal Reserve Banks discretionary authority to deny master accounts to such institutions. (I)

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Kannon K. Shanmugam
Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP

For respondent
Jeffrey S. Bucholtz
King & Spalding LLP

Case

Conference history

Amicus briefs
3 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A1320

Proceedings

  1. Aug 13 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of The Digital Chamber filed.
  2. Aug 13 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Senator Cynthia M. Lummis, et al. filed.
  3. Aug 12 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Blockchain Association filed.
  4. Aug 10 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 11, 2026, for all respondents.
  5. Aug 07 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 13, 2026 to September 11, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  6. Jul 10 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 13, 2026)
  7. May 29 2026
    Application (25A1320) granted by Justice Gorsuch extending the time to file until July 11, 2026.
  8. May 22 2026
    Application (25A1320) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from June 11, 2026 to July 11, 2026, submitted to Justice Gorsuch.