Supreme Court Report

Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →

Peter K. Navarro v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, No. 24-3006 · judgment July 21, 2026


14%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 8%–23%
Rule 10: circuit split argued

About 3.4× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a D.C. Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a petition filed soon after the judgment below.

Question presented

Whether 2 U.S.C. § 192, which makes it a crime to “willfully make[] default” on a congressional subpoena, requires the Government to prove the defendant knew that his conduct was unlawful.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Abhishek Shrilkrishnakant Kambli
Holtzman Vogel

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Proceedings

  1. Oct 06 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 9, 2026)