Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Catherine Herridge v. Yanping Chen
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, No. 24-5050 · judgment September 30, 2025
8%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 5%–14%
Conference-stage estimate: 2%
About 2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before and a D.C. Circuit decision below.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Paul D. Clement
Clement & Murphy, PLLC
For respondent
Andrew Clay Phillips
Meier Watkins Phillips Pusch LLP
Case
Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference
Linked docket
26M17
Proceedings
- Oct 05 2026Motion (26M17) Granted.
- Sep 02 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Aug 20 2026Motion (26M17) for leave to file a petition for a writ of certiorari under seal with redacted copies for the public record filed.
- Aug 20 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 6, 2026)