Supreme Court Report

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Marshall Grace v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 24-30730 · judgment March 27, 2026


13%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 9%–17%
Rule 10: circuit split argued

About 3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Fifth Circuit decision below, and a circuit split argued in the petition.

Question presented

In Pullman-Standard v. Swint, the Court held that, where a federal district court has failed to determine whether a party intended to engage in discrimination, federal appellate courts generally may not resolve that question in the first instance and should instead remand. 456 U.S. 273, 291-293 (1982). The Second, Fourth, Sixth, and Seventh Circuits hold, consistent with Pullman-Standard, that federal appellate courts may not initially determine whether a peremptory strike was intentionally discriminatory under the third step of Batson v. Kentucky, 476 U.S. 79 (1986). Where a federal district court has failed to make that determination, those circuits therefore hold that “the ultimate Batson issue cannot be resolved without a remand.” United States v. Rutledge, 648 F.3d 555, 560 (7th Cir. 2011). The Fifth and Ninth Circuits have taken a different approach. Where a federal district court fails to make an intent determination under step three, they permit the appellate court to “decide de novo” whether the strike was “motivated by purposeful discrimination.” United States v. AlvarezUlloa, 784 F.3d 558, 565 (9th Cir. 2015). The question presented is: May a federal appellate court, after concluding that a federal district court has failed to make necessary findings under step three of Batson v. Kentucky, 476 U.S. 79 (1986), proceed to make those findings in the first instance?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Paul Whitfield Hughes III
McDermott Will & Schulte LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Linked docket
26A113

Proceedings

  1. Oct 16 2026
    Waiver of United States of right to respond submitted.
  2. Oct 02 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 6, 2026)
  3. Aug 14 2026
    Application (26A113) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until October 2, 2026.
  4. Aug 07 2026
    Application (26A113) to extend further the time from September 2, 2026 to October 2, 2026, submitted to Justice Alito.
  5. Jul 24 2026
    Application (26A113) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until September 2, 2026.
  6. Jul 20 2026
    Application (26A113) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 3, 2026 to October 2, 2026, submitted to Justice Alito.