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Jeremy Kellogg, et al. v. Jonathan D. Nichols, Individually and as Statutory Licensing Officer Pursuant to Penal Law 265.00 (10); 400.00 et seq.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 23-8093 · judgment August 18, 2025


6%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 4%–9%
Rule 10: dissent below

Modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a Second Circuit decision below, a petition citing three to ten dissents, and a dissent in the court below.

Question presented

New York conditions the exercise of the Second Amendment right on a government license. In fifty-five of its sixty-two counties, the State assigns the power to grant or deny that license to a judge acting as a designated “licensing officer”; elsewhere, to a police commissioner or sheriff. In Whole Woman’s Health v. Jackson, 595 U.S. 30, 40 (2021), this Court reiterated the principle that “no case or controversy exists between a judge who adjudicates claims under a statute and a litigant who attacks the constitutionality of the statute” (cleaned up) (quoting Pulliam v. Allen, 466 U.S. 522, 538 n.18 (1984)). Drawing in part on its judicial-immunity precedent, the Second Circuit extended that principle to a judicial officer who administers the licensing scheme and personally denied the licenses sought, holding that Article III bars applicants’ § 1983 claims for prospective relief. This Court decided New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 597 U.S. 1 (2022), in a suit against such an officer. Six of the Second Circuit’s thirteen active judges dissented from the denial of rehearing en banc. The question presented is: Whether the rule that a judge who neutrally adjudicates claims under a statute is not adverse under Article III to a litigant who challenges that statute extends to a judicial officer who, in acting on license applications, personally administers the challenged regulatory scheme rather than resolving disputes between adverse parties.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Amy L. Bellantoni
The Bellantoni Law Firm, PLLC

For respondent
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Case

Conference history
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Proceedings

  1. Sep 28 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 4, 2026)