Supreme Court Report

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Jennifer Davenport, Attorney General of New Jersey, et al. v. Association of New Jersey Rifle and Pistol Clubs, Inc., et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, No. 24-2415, 24- 2450, 24-2506 · judgment July 17, 2026


17%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 9%–31%
Rule 10: dissent below

About 4.2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a state or local-government petitioner, a Third Circuit decision below, and a petition citing more than ten dissents, and down for a business respondent.

Question presented

I. Whether the Second and Fourteenth Amendments prohibit restrictions on semi-automatic assault rifles. II. Whether the Second and Fourteenth Amendments prohibit restrictions on large capacity magazines.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Sundeep Subramanian Iyer
Office of the Attorney General of New Jersey

For respondent
—

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Proceedings

  1. Oct 01 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 4, 2026)