Supreme Court Report

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Jawan N. Tarquinii v. Hung Cao, Acting Secretary of the Navy

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, No. 24-5243 · judgment June 2, 2026


16%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 11%–24%
Rule 10: circuit split argued

About 3.9× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a D.C. Circuit decision below, and a circuit split argued in the petition.

Question presented

Title VII allows a plaintiff alleging employment discrimination to establish causation by showing that a protected characteristic was either (1) a but-for cause of an adverse employment action, or (2) a motivating factor in the action. 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(a)(1), (m). This Court has explained that a case need not “be correctly labeled as either a ‘pretext’ case or a ‘mixed-motives’ case from the beginning in the District Court,” and that “the District Court must decide whether a particular case involves mixed motives.” Price Waterhouse v. Hopkins, 490 U.S. 228, 247 n.12 (1989) (plurality opinion). The Ninth and Second Circuits follow this Court’s guidance and do not require Title VII plaintiffs to expressly invoke a motivating factor theory to survive summary judgment, so long as they present sufficient evidence supporting that theory. By contrast, the D.C. and Eleventh Circuits require plaintiffs to expressly invoke the motivating factor theory for the district court to consider it at summary judgment. App. 3a-4a. Other circuits have issued conflicting opinions on this issue. The question presented is: Whether, and under what circumstances, a plaintiff must expressly invoke a motivating factor causation standard at summary judgment to preserve that theory of liability for Title VII claims.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Roman Martinez V
Latham & Watkins, LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Civil Rights (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Linked docket
26A220

Proceedings

  1. Sep 30 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 2, 2026)
  2. Aug 19 2026
    Application (26A220) granted by The Chief Justice extending the time to file until September 30, 2026.
  3. Aug 14 2026
    Application (26A220) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 31, 2026 to September 30, 2026, submitted to The Chief Justice.