Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Victor Buenrostro-Mendez, et al. v. Todd Blanche, Attorney General, et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 25-20496, 25-40701 · judgment February 6, 2026
1%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
Conference-stage estimate: 10%
GVR risk 0%
Well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Michael K. T. Tan
American Civil Liberties Union Foundation
For respondent
Danya Wayland Blair
Hicks Davis Wynn PC
Case
Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference
Proceedings
- Sep 03 2026Rescheduled.
- Aug 26 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Aug 24 2026Reply of petitioners Victor Buenrostro-Mendez, et al. filed. (Distributed)
- Aug 10 2026Brief of Federal Respondents filed.
- Aug 07 2026Waiver of right of respondent Martin Frink, Warden to respond filed.
- Jul 02 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 10, 2026)
- Jul 02 2026Pursuant to Rule 34.6 and Paragraph 9 of the Guidelines for the Submission of Documents to the Supreme Court's Electronic Filing System, filings in this case should be submitted in paper form only, and should not be submitted through the Court's electronic filing system.