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Gian Martinez-Ferrate, et al. v. Utah, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, No. 25-4073 · judgment February 27, 2026


0%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)

Well below the 4.1% base rate: the model weights this down for a self-represented petitioner.

Questions presented

  1. Whether Presidential Elector Candidates suffer a concrete and particularized injury sufficient to establish Article III standing when state officials remove them from the general election ballot after determining that their Pledged Presidential Candidate is constitutionally ineligible.

  2. Whether a State may deny ballot access to qualified Presidential Elector Candidates by adjudicating the constitutional eligibility of their Pledged Presidential Candidate where state law identifies the Presidential Electors, not the presidential nominee as the relevant ballot candidates.

  3. Whether the decision below conflicts with this Court's precedents recognizing that exclusion from the ballot and burdens on political participation constitute judicially cognizable injuries under Article III.

  4. Whether allowing individual States to determine presidential eligibility in a manner that excludes otherwise qualified Presidential Elector Candidates creates the very state-by-state inconsistency that this Court cautioned against in Trump v. Anderson.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Gian Martinez-Ferrate

For respondent
Erin Tadje Middleton
Office of the Utah Attorney General

Case

Subject area
Civil Rights (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Linked docket
25A1270

Proceedings

  1. Oct 14 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent State of Utah, et al. to respond filed.
  2. Aug 12 2026
    Waiver of Utah, et al. not accepted for filing. (August 18, 2026)
  3. Jul 21 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 26, 2026)
  4. May 18 2026
    Application (25A1270) granted by Justice Gorsuch extending the time to file until July 27, 2026.
  5. May 13 2026
    Application (25A1270) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from May 28, 2026 to July 27, 2026, submitted to Justice Gorsuch.