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Jason M. Smith v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 25-1458 · judgment January 13, 2026


4%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
Rule 10: circuit split argued
At the Nov 6 conference: granted 0.11% · GVR 0.14% · relisted 5.7% · denied 94%
Granted ever, conference-stage estimate: 2.1%

Roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition and a Second Circuit decision below.

Question presented

Petitioner presents the following question for review: Where a criminal defendant provides competent evidence that trial counsel omitted to raise a meritorious issue in suppression of evidence that, if raised, would have made acquittal reasonably probable, does § 2255 require the court to order an evidentiary hearing? When a Court of Appeals denies an application for certificate of appealability, is it obligated to explain the basis for its decision on sufficient detail to allow for meaningful appellate review?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Matthew Gilmartin
Matthew Gilmartin, Attorney at Law, LLC

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
26A79

Proceedings

  1. Oct 07 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 11/6/2026.
  2. Sep 30 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  3. Sep 21 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 26, 2026)
  4. Jul 17 2026
    Application (26A79) granted by Justice Sotomayor extending the time to file until September 21, 2026.
  5. Jul 10 2026
    Application (26A79) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 21, 2026 to September 19, 2026, submitted to Justice Sotomayor.