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Frank Parasmo v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 23-6555 · judgment May 19, 2026


13%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 7%–21%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
At the Oct 16 conference: granted 0.30% · GVR 1.1% · relisted 71% · denied 28%
Granted ever, conference-stage estimate: 4.0%

About 3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a petition citing more than ten dissents, and a Second Circuit decision below.

Question presented

In Neder v. United States, 527 U.S. 1 (1999), this Court held that where a jury was erroneously instructed on an element of the charged offense, a reviewing court may deem the error harmless if it “concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the omitted element was uncontested and supported by overwhelming evidence.” Id. at 17 (emphasis added). The circuits have developed two conflicting approaches to applying Neder in cases where the element at issue was contested. Some courts, including the divided Second Circuit panel below, weigh the evidence on the disputed element themselves and deem an error harmless if they deem the government’s evidence sufficiently strong. Other courts ask only whether the defendant’s evidence could rationally support acquittal, without weighing it against the government’s evidence. The confusion has led to irreconcilable decisions regarding harmless error, and, as Judge Robinson explained in dissent below, has led to a clear circuit split regarding the harmlessness of jury instructions that violate this Court’s decision in Ruan v. United States, 597 U.S. 450 (2022). The question presented is: Where a jury convicts a defendant after being erroneously instructed on an element of the offense that the defendant plausibly contested, do this Court’s precedents and the Sixth Amendment permit an appellate court to find the error harmless based on the court’s assessment of the strength of the government’s evidence?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
William Ernest Havemann
Milbank LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
26A178

Proceedings

  1. Oct 05 2026
    Response Requested. (Due November 4, 2026)
  2. Sep 30 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/16/2026.
  3. Sep 28 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  4. Sep 16 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 19, 2026)
  5. Aug 11 2026
    Application (26A178) granted by Justice Sotomayor extending the time to file until September 16, 2026.
  6. Aug 06 2026
    Application (26A178) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 17, 2026 to September 16, 2026, submitted to Justice Sotomayor.