Supreme Court Report

Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →

Brett Christian, et al. v. Steven G. James, Superintendent, New York State Police, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 24-2847, 25-384 · judgment May 18, 2026


32%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 20%–46%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued

About 7.7× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a petition citing more than ten dissents.

Questions presented

  1. Whether New York’s ban on the possession of firearms in public parks violates the Second and Fourteenth Amendments.

  2. Whether the Second Circuit erred in rejecting Petitioners’ challenge to New York’s undifferentiated ban on possession of firearms in public parks based on a conclusion that history would support banning possession of firearms in urban parks.

  3. Whether the Second Circuit erred in holding that firearms laws from the latter half of the 19th century can establish a tradition of regulation limiting the scope of the right to keep and bear arms in the absence of historical support from the Founding era.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
David H. Thompson
Cooper & Kirk, PLLC

For respondent
Barbara Dale Underwood
New York Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Linked docket
26A142

Proceedings

  1. Sep 25 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including December 3, 2026.
  2. Sep 24 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from October 19, 2026 to December 3, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Sep 16 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 19, 2026)
  4. Jul 31 2026
    Application (26A142) granted by Justice Sotomayor extending the time to file until September 16, 2026.
  5. Jul 28 2026
    Application (26A142) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 16, 2026 to September 16, 2026, submitted to Justice Sotomayor.