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Gary Betts, et al. v. Boone County, Illinois, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, No. 25-1685 · judgment June 15, 2026


21%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 13%–32%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued

About 5× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a petition citing three to ten dissents.

Question presented

In Monell v. Department of Social Services of the City of New York, this Court held that a municipality may be held liable under 42 U.S.C. § 1983 when the municipality itself—through officials’ execution of a municipal “policy or custom”—causes a deprivation of rights protected by the Constitution. 436 U.S. 658, 694 (1978). This Court subsequently made clear that unconstitutional actions taken by a municipality’s “final decisionmaker” constitute acts of municipal policy giving rise to municipal liability. Pembaur v. City of Cincinnati, 475 U.S. 469, 485 (1986). In the decision below, a divided Seventh Circuit panel held that a municipal official’s unconstitutional actions cannot establish official municipal policy if those actions also violated state or local law. Under this rule, such a violation operates as a categorical shield to Monell liability, insulating municipalities from responsibility for even the most blatant constitutional violations. As Judge Hamilton noted in dissent, that rule cements an acknowledged circuit split and warrants review by this Court. The question presented is whether municipal liability under Section 1983 is categorically unavailable for unconstitutional actions that also violate state or local law.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Roman Martinez V
Latham & Watkins, LLP

For respondent
Michael Joseph Denning
Heyl Royster Voelker & Allen

Case

Subject area
Civil Rights (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Proceedings

  1. Oct 08 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including December 1, 2026.
  2. Oct 06 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from October 19, 2026 to December 1, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Sep 14 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 19, 2026)