Supreme Court Report

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FedEx Corporation, et al. v. Robert A. Watt, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, No. 24-5945 · judgment March 16, 2026


6%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 3%–10%
Rule 10: dissent below
At the Nov 6 conference: granted 0.12% · GVR 0.07% · relisted 6.1% · denied 94%
Granted ever, conference-stage estimate: 1.4%

Modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a dissent in the court below, a business petitioner, and counsel who has filed here before.

Question presented

The Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) requires defined benefit pension plans to offer participants’ accrued benefit in the form of a joint and survivor annuity, 29 U.S.C. 1055(a), a form of benefit that provides a stream of retirement income for the participant’s lifetime and that of the participant’s surviving spouse. This joint and survivor annuity must be the “actuarial equivalent” of a single annuity for the life of the participant. 29 U.S.C. 1055(d). The question presented is: Whether the reference to actuarially equivalent benefits in 29 U.S.C. 1055(d) places a substantive constraint on the reasonableness of the actuarial assumptions used to determine that benefit, even though Section 1055(d) does not use the word “reasonable” or mention actuarial assumptions.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Michael Edward Kenneally Jr.
Morgan, Lewis & Bockius LLP

For respondent
Mathew Paul Jasinski
Motley Rice LLC

Case

Subject area
Economic Activity (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Related
Vide, 26-387

Linked docket
26A156

Proceedings

  1. Oct 16 2026
    Amicus brief of The ERISA Industry Committee submitted.
  2. Oct 14 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 11/6/2026.
  3. Sep 24 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Robert Watt, et al. to respond filed.
  4. Sep 14 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 16, 2026)
  5. Aug 05 2026
    Application (26A156) granted by Justice Kavanaugh extending the time to file until September 14, 2026.
  6. Jul 30 2026
    Application (26A156) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 13, 2026 to September 14, 2026, submitted to Justice Kavanaugh.