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Catherine L. Hanaway, in Her Official Capacity as Attorney General of Missouri, et al. v. Thomas L. Sanderson

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit, No. 24-3120, 24-3204 · judgment January 2, 2026


5%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
Rule 10: circuit split argued

Modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a state or local-government petitioner, a circuit split argued in the petition, and an Eighth Circuit decision below.

Question presented

Under Missouri law, convicted sex offenders cannot participate in Halloween: They must avoid all Halloween-related contact with children, remain at their residence with all outside lighting off during the evening hours, and post a notice stating “No candy or treats at this residence.” Thomas Sanderson, a convicted sex offender, challenged the sign-posting requirement as unconstitutional compelled speech. The Eighth Circuit agreed and struck down Missouri’s law—contending that “the sign mandate compels speech” and fails strict scrutiny. The question presented is: Does Missouri’s Halloween sign-posting requirement, which requires factually accurate disclosures, unconstitutionally compel the speech of convicted sex offenders?

Counsel of record

For petitioner

For respondent
Janice Madelyn Bellucci
Law Office of Janice M. Bellucci

Case

Conference history

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A1191

Proceedings

  1. Aug 03 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Iowa, et al. filed.
  2. Jul 17 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 8, 2026.
  3. Jul 16 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 7, 2026 to September 8, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  4. Jul 06 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 7, 2026)
  5. Apr 29 2026
    Application (25A1191) granted by Justice Kavanaugh extending the time to file until July 6, 2026.
  6. Apr 22 2026
    Application (25A1191) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from May 7, 2026 to July 6, 2026, submitted to Justice Kavanaugh.