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Nidal Ahmed Waked Hatum v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, No. 22-13312 · judgment January 14, 2026


4%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
Rule 10: circuit split argued

Roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, an Eleventh Circuit decision below, and a petition citing one or two dissents.

Questions presented

This case concerns a money laundering offense in which Petitioner returned all of the money involved, with interest, and no one suffered any harm—financial or otherwise. Petitioner kept nothing, made no proceeds, and was financially unable to pay a fine. After the district court declined to enter a forfeiture judgment, however, the Eleventh Circuit required the district court to authorize forfeiting the total amount of money involved in the transactions—ultimately resulting in a forfeiture money judgment of more than $10 million dollars in unspecified, untainted property. Breaking from its sister circuits and precedent, the Eleventh Circuit found no constitutional or statutory impediment to that result. The questions presented are:

  1. Whether, in determining whether a fine contravenes the Excessive Fines Clause, courts may consider the gravity of the underlying offense purely in the abstract or should consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing. This is the same question on which the Court granted certiorari in Jouppi v. State of Alaska, No. 25–246.

  2. Whether, in determining whether a fine contravenes the Excessive Fines Clause, courts may ignore the financial status of the defendant.

  3. Whether, under 18 U.S.C. § 982(a)(1), the government can obtain a forfeiture money judgment for untainted substitute property in the amount of the full value of funds that changed hands during an offense, even if none of the forfeited property was tainted, the defendant never personally received anything, and the full amount was returned to the rightful owner before indictment.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Joshua John Fougere
Sidley Austin LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Criminal Procedure (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Linked docket
25A1433

Proceedings

  1. Oct 13 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including November 12, 2026.
  2. Oct 09 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from October 13, 2026 to November 12, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Sep 08 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 13, 2026)
  4. Jul 31 2026
    Application (25A1433) granted by Justice Thomas extending the time to file until September 8, 2026.
  5. Jul 28 2026
    Application (25A1433) to extend further the time from August 7, 2026 to August 21, 2026, submitted to Justice Thomas.
  6. Jun 24 2026
    Application (25A1433) granted by Justice Thomas extending the time to file until August 7, 2026.
  7. Jun 18 2026
    Application (25A1433) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 8, 2026 to August 7, 2026, submitted to Justice Thomas.