Supreme Court Report

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James Owens, et al. v. The Taliban, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 23-354, 23-797 · judgment August 26, 2025


32%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 20%–46%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued

About 7.7× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a petition citing more than ten dissents.

Question presented

Half a century ago, Congress passed the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act of 1976 to “transfer primary responsibility for deciding ‘claims of foreign states to immunity’ from the State Department to the courts.” Samantar v. Yousuf, 560 U.S. 305, 314 (2010) (quoting 28 U.S.C. § 1602). This Court has since recognized that “interpretation of the FSIA’s reach” poses “a pure question of statutory construction … well within the province of the Judiciary.” Republic of Austria v. Altmann, 541 U.S. 677, 701 (2004) (quotation marks omitted). In a divided opinion, the Second Circuit broke from this view. When determining whether funds held by Da Afghanistan Bank (“DAB”), a Talibancontrolled entity, are immune from attachment under the FSIA, the court found that it was “bound” to answer that question in the affirmative because of an online State Department fact sheet listing Afghanistan as an “independent state[]” and a threepage Department of Justice district court filing describing DAB as the central bank of the otherwise defunct state of Afghanistan. See App.24 & n.67. The panel denied rehearing, App.91, and the full court denied rehearing en banc, with five judges dissenting, App.94, 96–131. The question presented is: Does the FSIA require courts to independently interpret its provisions, or must a court defer to State Department websites and Department of Justice litigation filings in determining whether an entity is entitled to sovereign immunity under the FSIA?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Matthew Dempsey McGill
King & Spalding LLP

For respondent
—

Case

Subject area
Economic Activity (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
—

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Related
Vide, 26-292, 26-293

Proceedings

  1. Oct 05 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Naseer A. Faiq, Chargé d’Affaires of the Permanent Mission of Afghanistan to the United Nations filed. VIDED.
  2. Aug 31 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 5, 2026)
  3. Jun 18 2026
    Application (25A1393) granted by Justice Sotomayor extending the time to file until August 31, 2026.
  4. Jun 09 2026
    Application (25A1393) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 2, 2026 to August 31, 2026, submitted to Justice Sotomayor.