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John Woolard, et al. v. Tony Thurmond, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 24-4291 · judgment March 23, 2026


19%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 15%–25%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued

About 4.7× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a circuit split argued in the petition.

Question presented

California funds independent-study programs in which parents teach their children in their homes using curricula and materials the parents select. Charter-school employees simply approve parent-directed purchases and periodically review student work for adherence to state academic standards. The charter schools here denied parents funding and academic credit for curricula and materials even though they satisfied the State’s academic standards, solely because officials deemed them “religious.” The Ninth Circuit approved this discrimination by holding that parents teaching their children in their own homes using curricula and materials they selected are conducting a “public school program” to which the First Amendment’s prohibition against religious discrimination doesn’t apply. The question presented is: Whether a State that chooses to recognize and fund homeschooling using parents’ chosen curricula may deny recognition and funding to parents who desire to use faith-based curricula or materials to teach their children at home, solely because the State deems those materials religious?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Allyson Ho
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP

For respondent

Case

Conference history

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A1287

Proceedings

  1. Sep 01 2026
    Amicus brief of NC Values Institute submitted.
  2. Aug 20 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 23, 2026)
  3. May 20 2026
    Application (25A1287) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until August 20, 2026.
  4. May 15 2026
    Application (25A1287) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from June 21, 2026 to August 20, 2026, submitted to Justice Kagan.