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TMX Finance Corporate Services, Incorporated v. Wendy S. Spicher, Secretary, Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 24-11087 · judgment January 9, 2026


11%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 7%–17%
Conference-stage estimate: 3%
Rule 10: circuit split argued
GVR risk 1%

About 2.8× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Fifth Circuit decision below, and a circuit split argued in the petition, and down for a state or local-government respondent.

Question presented

Whether a State’s “generic,” New Orleans Pub. Serv., Inc. v. Council of City of New Orleans, 491 U.S. 350, 365 (1989), interest in regulating the transactions that out-of-state companies enter into with the State’s residents within other States’ borders is sufficiently important to permit the State to evade federal court under Younger v. Harris, 401 U.S. 37 (1971).

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Misha Tseytlin
Troutman Pepper Locke LLP

For respondent
Michael John Scarinci
Pennsylvania Office of Attorney General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
25A1183

Proceedings

  1. Aug 19 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 28, 2026.
  2. Aug 18 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from September 11, 2026 to September 28, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Aug 12 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  4. Aug 12 2026
    Response Requested. (Due September 11, 2026)
  5. Aug 06 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Wendy S. Spicher to respond filed.
  6. Jul 02 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 6, 2026)
  7. Apr 28 2026
    Application (25A1183) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until July 3, 2026.
  8. Apr 23 2026
    Application (25A1183) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from June 3, 2026 to July 31, 2026, submitted to Justice Alito.