Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. National Horsemen's Benevolent and Protective Association, et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 23-10520 · judgment June 11, 2026
64%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 54%–73%
Rule 10: dissent below
About 15.6× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a federal-government petitioner, counsel who has won certiorari before, and a petition filed soon after the judgment below.
Question presented
Whether the enforcement provisions of the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Act of 2020, 15 U.S.C. 3051 et seq.—which authorize the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority, a private entity, to assist the Federal Trade Commission in enforcing the statute—violate the private nondelegation doctrine on their face.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General
For respondent
—
Proceedings
- Aug 14 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 16, 2026)