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Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority, Incorporated, et al. v. National Horsemen's Benevolent and Protective Association, et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 23-10520 · judgment June 11, 2026
31%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 22%–42%
Rule 10: circuit split argued
About 7.5× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a petition filed soon after the judgment below, and a Fifth Circuit decision below.
Question presented
Whether the enforcement provisions of the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Act are facially unconstitutional under the private-nondelegation doctrine.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Pratik Arvind Shah
Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld, LLP
For respondent
William Robert Peterson
Office of the Texas Attorney General
Case
Conference history
—
Amicus briefs
2 cert-stage
Proceedings
- Sep 30 2026Reply of petitioners Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority, Incorporated, et al. filed.
- Sep 16 2026Brief amici curiae of Alexander Volokh, et al. filed.
- Sep 16 2026Response to petition from respondents Gulf Coast Racing L.L.C. et al. filed. VIDED.
- Sep 16 2026Response to petition from respondents Texas, et al. filed. VIDED.
- Sep 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of Repole Stable, Inc. filed. VIDED.
- Sep 11 2026Response to petition from respondents National Horsemen's Benevolent and Protective Association, et al. filed. VIDED.
- Aug 10 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 16, 2026)