Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Edlando M. Watson v. United States
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, No. 24-2432 · judgment April 2, 2026
3%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
Conference-stage estimate: 1%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
GVR risk 0%
Well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.
Question presented
Whether 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1), the federal statute that prohibits anyone who has been convicted of “a crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year” from possessing a firearm, violates the Second Amendment as applied to Petitioner, whose prior felonies consist solely of nonviolent drug offenses.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Ellen Matheson
Foley & Lardner LLP
For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General
Proceedings
- Aug 19 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Aug 11 2026Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
- Jul 31 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 3, 2026)
- May 27 2026Application (25A1313) granted by Justice Barrett extending the time to file until July 31, 2026.
- May 20 2026Application (25A1313) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 1, 2026 to July 31, 2026, submitted to Justice Barrett.