Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Juan Baltazar, Warden, et al. v. Eva Daley
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, No. 24-1191 · judgment November 3, 2025
9%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 5%–16%
Conference-stage estimate: 2%
About 2.2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a state or local-government petitioner, and a Tenth Circuit decision below.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General
For respondent
Andrew Timothy Tutt
Trial Lawyers for Justice
Proceedings
- Oct 09 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including November 23, 2026.
- Oct 05 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response from October 22, 2026 to November 23, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
- Sep 22 2026Response Requested. (Due October 22, 2026)
- Sep 16 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/9/2026.
- Jul 30 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 31, 2026)
- Jun 18 2026Application (25A1403) granted by Justice Gorsuch extending the time to file until August 3, 2026.
- Jun 17 2026Application (25A1403) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 2, 2026 to August 3, 2026, submitted to Justice Gorsuch.
- Jun 17 2026Pursuant to Rule 34.6 and Paragraph 9 of the Guidelines for the Submission of Documents to the Supreme Court's Electronic Filing System, filings in this case should be submitted in paper form only, and should not be submitted through the Court's electronic filing system.