Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Juan Baltazar, Warden, et al. v. Eva Daley
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, No. 24-1191 · judgment November 3, 2025
6%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 3%–11%
Modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a state or local-government petitioner, and a Tenth Circuit decision below.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General
For respondent
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Proceedings
- Jul 30 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 31, 2026)
- Jun 18 2026Application (25A1403) granted by Justice Gorsuch extending the time to file until August 3, 2026.
- Jun 17 2026Application (25A1403) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 2, 2026 to August 3, 2026, submitted to Justice Gorsuch.
- Jun 17 2026Pursuant to Rule 34.6 and Paragraph 9 of the Guidelines for the Submission of Documents to the Supreme Court's Electronic Filing System, filings in this case should be submitted in paper form only, and should not be submitted through the Court's electronic filing system.