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United States v. E. Jean Carroll, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 24-644 · judgment June 18, 2025


62%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 51%–72%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued

About 15.1× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a federal-government petitioner, counsel who has won certiorari before, and a Second Circuit decision below.

Question presented

Whether the court of appeals misconstrued the Westfall Act, 28 U.S.C. 2679, in rejecting the Attorney General’s certification that statements made by President Trump during his first term fell within the scope of his federal office for purposes of the Act.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Hashim M. Mooppan
Department of Justice

For respondent
Roberta A. Kaplan
Kaplan Martin LLP

Case

Conference history

Proceedings

  1. Aug 20 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including October 30, 2026.
  2. Aug 19 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 31, 2026 to October 30, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Jul 28 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 31, 2026)