Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Gays Against Groomers, et al. v. Lorena Garcia, Individually and as a Colorado State Representative, et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, No. 24-1473 · judgment March 10, 2026
4%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
Roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and a Tenth Circuit decision below.
Questions presented
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Is legislative immunity a personal defense that is unavailable against official-capacity claims for equitable relief?
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Is enforcing a facially viewpoint-discriminatory public comment policy subject to legislative immunity?
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Endel Rohe Kolde
Institute for Free Speech
For respondent
Blain David Myhre
Blain Myhre, LLC
Case
Conference history
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Amicus briefs
4 cert-stage
Proceedings
- Aug 26 2026Brief amicus curiae of Foundation for Moral Law filed.
- Aug 26 2026Brief amicus curiae of Women’s Liberation Front filed.
- Aug 25 2026Brief amici curiae of LGB Courage Coalition, et al. filed.
- Aug 17 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 25, 2026.
- Aug 14 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 26, 2026 to September 25, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
- Aug 05 2026Brief amicus curiae of Women’s Declaration International USA filed.
- Jul 21 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 26, 2026)