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Robinhood Markets, Inc., et al. v. Vinod Sodha, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 24-1036 · judgment August 29, 2025


6%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 5%–9%
Conference-stage estimate: 22%
GVR risk 0%

About 1.6× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a business petitioner.

Question presented

JAMES N. KRAMER DARRELL S. CAFASSO ALEXANDER K. TALARIDES JENNIFER KEIGHLEY ORRICK, HERRINGTON & ORRICK, HERRINGTON & SUTCLIFFE LLP SUTCLIFFE LLP 405 Howard Street 51 West 52nd Street San Francisco, CA 94105 New York, NY 10019 (415) 773-5700 (212) 506-5000 Counsel for the Underwriters

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Jeffrey B. Wall
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP

For respondent
Amanda Frances Lawrence
Scott+Scott Attorneys at Law LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
3 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A749

Proceedings

  1. Jun 01 2026
    The Solicitor General is invited to file a brief in this case expressing the views of the United States.
  2. May 12 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/28/2026.
  3. May 11 2026
    Reply of petitioners Robinhood Markets, Inc., et al. filed. (Distributed)
  4. Apr 23 2026
    Brief of respondents Vinod Sodha, et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Apr 10 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including April 23, 2026.
  6. Apr 09 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from April 10, 2026 to April 23, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  7. Mar 11 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Joseph A. Grundfest filed.
  8. Mar 11 2026
    Brief amici curiae of The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, et al. filed.
  9. Mar 11 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Washington Legal Foundation filed.
  10. Mar 02 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including April 10, 2026.
  11. Feb 27 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from March 11, 2026 to April 10, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  12. Feb 05 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due March 11, 2026)
  13. Dec 29 2025
    Application (25A749) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until February 5, 2026.
  14. Dec 19 2025
    Application (25A749) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from January 6, 2026 to February 5, 2026, submitted to Justice Kagan.