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Andrew D. Parker, et al. v. Bill Gates, as a Member of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 23-16022 · judgment March 14, 2025


3%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
GVR risk 19%

Well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.

Questions presented

Petitioners brought claims on behalf of candidates in advance of the 2022 election, challenging the procedures Arizona would use to count votes in that and future elections. After the claims were dismissed for lack of standing, the Ninth Circuit affirmed Rule 11 and 28 U.S.C. § 1927 sanctions against Petitioners that the district court imposed to “send a message” deterring future litigants because it believed Petitioners’ pleading threatened “public trust.” App.9. Six circuit judges dissented from denial of Petitioners’ petition for rehearing en banc, warning of “the district court’s weaponization of sanctions to chill politically disfavored litigation” that presented “danger to the rule of law.” App.147.

  1. May a district court sanction attorneys to “send a message” not to file politically disfavored lawsuits?

  2. May a district court sanction attorneys for presenting legal arguments that are deemed novel or a long shot?

  3. May a district court construe a complaint in a light least favorable to attorneys and then impose sanctions based on that construction?

  4. Is a motion for prospective injunctive relief sanctionable based on Purcell v. Gonzalez, 549 U.S. 1 (2006), where the motion is heard nearly four months before the next election and the motion also seeks relief concerning future elections after the next election?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Nathan Lewin
Lewin & Lewin, LLP

For respondent
Daniel S. Jurkowitz
Pima Cnty. Attorney's Office

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Linked docket
25A540

Proceedings

  1. Jul 08 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  2. Jun 22 2026
    Brief of respondents Bill Gates, et al. in opposition filed.
  3. Apr 16 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including June 22, 2026.
  4. Mar 31 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from April 22, 2026 to June 22, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  5. Mar 23 2026
    Response Requested. (Due April 22, 2026)
  6. Mar 11 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/27/2026.
  7. Jan 16 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due February 23, 2026)
  8. Nov 10 2025
    Application (25A540) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until January 18, 2026.
  9. Oct 30 2025
    Application (25A540) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from November 19, 2025 to January 18, 2026, submitted to Justice Kagan.