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Greg Abbott, in His Official Capacity as Governor of Texas, et al., Appellants v. League of United Latin American Citizens, et al.
Paid petition · United States District Court for the Western District of Texas, No. EP-21-CV-00259-DCG-JES-JVB · judgment November 18, 2025
66%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 44%–83%
Conference-stage estimate: 30%
GVR risk 11%
About 16.1× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a direct appeal from a three-judge district court (mandatory jurisdiction), a petition filed soon after the judgment below, and counsel with five or more prior petitions here.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
William Robert Peterson
Office of the Texas Attorney General
For respondent
Gary L. Bledsoe
Case
Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference
Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage
Argument & decision
Decided May 29, 2026.
Proceedings
- May 29 2026Judgment Issued.
- Apr 27 2026For the reasons set forth in Abbott v. League of United Latin American Citizens, 607 U. S. ___ (2025), we reverse the District Court’s judgment. Justice Sotomayor, Justice Kagan, and Justice Jackson dissent from the Court's summary reversal.
- Apr 08 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 4/24/2026.
- Apr 06 2026Brief in opposition to motions to affirm, dismiss or remand from appellants Greg Abbott, et al. filed. (Distributed)
- Mar 19 2026Motion to affirm or remand filed by appellee League of United Latin American Citizens, et al.
- Mar 19 2026Motion to affirm filed by Brooks Appellees.
- Mar 19 2026Motion to affirm filed by appellee Mexican American Legislative Caucus.
- Mar 19 2026Motion to dismiss or affirm filed by appellee Alexander Green, et al.
- Mar 19 2026Motion to affirm filed by Gonzales Appellees.
- Mar 19 2026Motion to affirm filed by appellees Texas State Conference of NAACP Branches.
- Mar 19 2026Brief amicus curiae of Stephen M. Shapiro filed.
- Jan 22 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including March 19, 2026, for all respondents.
- Jan 21 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response from February 17, 2026 to March 19, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
- Jan 13 2026Statement as to jurisdiction filed. (Response due February 17, 2026)