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Donald J. Trump v. E. Jean Carroll

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 23-793 · judgment December 30, 2024


Certiorari denied · June 29, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 1% cert probability

Before the decision, well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.

Question presented

I. Whether Federal Rule of Evidence 415 overrides Rule 403’s requirement to balance the probative value of temporally remote propensity evidence against its prejudicial effect before such evidence can be admitted? II. Whether Federal Rule of Evidence 413(d) authorizes the admission of temporally remote propensity evidence that the defendant committed the “crime” of “sexual assault” when the alleged prior act did not constitute a crime or a sexual assault? III. Whether Federal Rule of Evidence 404(b)(2) permits the admission of “modus operandi” or “corroboration” evidence of prior “bad acts” without establishing a non-propensity purpose of the evidence, such as identity, absence of mistake, or another enumerated exception in Rule 404(b)(2)?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Michael Charles Martinich-Sauter
James Otis Law Group, LLC

For respondent
Roberta A. Kaplan
Kaplan Martin LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 16 conferences

Amicus briefs
5 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A250

Proceedings

  1. Aug 17 2026
    Rehearing DENIED.
  2. Jul 23 2026
    DISTRIBUTED.
  3. Jul 08 2026
  4. Jul 06 2026
    Petition of President Donald J. Trump for rehearing not accepted for filing. (Corrected PDF to be submitted - July 07, 2026)
  5. Jun 29 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  6. Jun 22 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/25/2026.
  7. Jun 16 2026
    Rescheduled.
  8. Jun 15 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/18/2026.
  9. Jun 11 2026
    Letter of June 2, 2026 from counsel for petitioner received.
  10. Jun 08 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/11/2026.
  11. Jun 08 2026
    Rescheduled.
  12. Jun 02 2026
    Rescheduled.
  13. Jun 01 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/4/2026.
  14. May 27 2026
    Rescheduled.
  15. May 26 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/28/2026.
  16. May 20 2026
    Rescheduled.
  17. May 18 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/21/2026.
  18. May 11 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/14/2026.
  19. May 11 2026
    Rescheduled.
  20. Apr 29 2026
    Rescheduled.
  21. Apr 27 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/1/2026.
  22. Apr 22 2026
    Rescheduled.
  23. Apr 20 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 4/24/2026.
  24. Apr 16 2026
    Rescheduled.
  25. Apr 13 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 4/17/2026.
  26. Mar 31 2026
    Rescheduled.
  27. Mar 30 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 4/2/2026.
  28. Mar 26 2026
    Rescheduled.
  29. Mar 23 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/27/2026.
  30. Mar 19 2026
    Rescheduled.
  31. Mar 16 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/20/2026.
  32. Mar 04 2026
    Rescheduled.
  33. Mar 02 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/6/2026.
  34. Feb 26 2026
    Rescheduled.
  35. Feb 23 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/27/2026.
  36. Feb 19 2026
    Rescheduled.
  37. Jan 28 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/20/2026.
  38. Jan 28 2026
    Reply of petitioner President Donald J. Trump filed. (Distributed)
  39. Jan 14 2026
    Brief of respondent E. Jean Carroll in opposition filed.
  40. Jan 08 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of David Boyle filed.
  41. Dec 15 2025
    Brief amici curiae of Iowa, et al. filed.
  42. Dec 15 2025
    Brief amici curiae of Citizens United, et al. filed.
  43. Dec 15 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Article III Project filed.
  44. Dec 11 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of America First Legal Foundation filed.
  45. Nov 18 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including January 14, 2026.
  46. Nov 14 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from December 15, 2025 to January 14, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  47. Nov 10 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due December 15, 2025)
  48. Sep 04 2025
    Application (25A250) granted by Justice Sotomayor extending the time to file until November 10, 2025.
  49. Aug 28 2025
    Application (25A250) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from September 11, 2025 to November 10, 2025, submitted to Justice Sotomayor.