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Canna Provisions, Inc., et al., v. Pamela J. Bondi, Attorney General

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, No. 24-1628 · judgment May 27, 2025


Certiorari denied · December 15, 2025
Pre-decision estimate: 8% cert probability (95% interval 5%–14%)

Before the decision, about 2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a First Circuit decision below, and a business petitioner.

Question presented

Petitioners brought this case to challenge the validity of the Court’s ruling in Gonzales v. Raich, 545 U.S. 1 (2005), that Congress may prohibit the purely local production, distribution, and possession of marijuana that is authorized by state law. A narrow majority held that the Court “need not determine whether” those “activities, taken in the aggregate, substantially affect interstate commerce in fact, but only whether a ‘rational basis’ exists for so concluding,” id. at 22, and that Congress could rationally conclude that those activities would frustrate its goal of eliminating interstate marijuana. Multiple developments have undermined Raich’s rationale and outcome. Following Raich, the Court has applied a more rigorous standard to Congress’s regulation of traditionally local concerns. See, e.g., Nat’l Fed’n of Indep. Bus. v. Sebelius, 567 U.S. 519, 560 (2012) (opinion of Roberts, C.J.) (holding that the individual mandate was not incidental to interstate regulation). Technological advances have made state-regulated marijuana distinguishable from interstate marijuana, and Congress and the Executive Branch have embraced that distinction with legislation and policies against prosecuting stateregulated marijuana activities. Dozens more states— 38 total—have enacted marijuana programs, and interstate commerce in marijuana has dropped. Question 1: Should the Court overrule Raich’s holding that Congress can regulate purely local economic activity if there is any “rational basis” that

Counsel of record

For petitioner
David Boies
Boies, Schiller & Flexner LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
3 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A180

Proceedings

  1. Dec 15 2025
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Nov 26 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Michael Colosi filed. (Distributed)
  3. Nov 25 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 12/12/2025.
  4. Nov 25 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Cato Institute filed. (Distributed)
  5. Nov 24 2025
    Letter from petitioners Canna Provisions, Inc., et al. received.
  6. Nov 19 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Americans for Prosperity Foundation filed.
  7. Nov 17 2025
    Waiver of right of respondent Pamela Bondi, Attorney General, to respond filed.
  8. Oct 24 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 28, 2025)
  9. Aug 15 2025
    Application (25A180) granted by Justice Jackson extending the time to file until October 24, 2025.
  10. Aug 11 2025
    Application (25A180) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 25, 2025 to October 24, 2025, submitted to Justice Jackson.