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Alaska, et al. v. United States, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 24-2251 · judgment August 20, 2025


Certiorari denied · January 12, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 9% cert probability (95% interval 6%–14%)

Before the decision, about 2.2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a petition filed soon after the judgment below, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and counsel who has filed here before.

Question presented

Whether the United States can regulate fishing on Alaska’s navigable waters under the Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act, when its statutory authority is limited to “public lands” and that term is defined as “lands, waters, and interests therein … the title to which is in the United States.”

Counsel of record

For petitioner
John Michael Connolly
Consovoy McCarthy PLLC

For respondent
Heather R. Kendall
Native American Rights Fund

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
4 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Jan 12 2026
    Petition DENIED. The Chief Justice took no part in the consideration or decision of this petition.
  2. Dec 23 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/9/2026.
  3. Dec 19 2025
    Reply of petitioners Alaska, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  4. Dec 09 2025
    Brief of respondent United States in opposition filed.
  5. Dec 09 2025
    Brief of respondents Association of Village Council Presidents, et al. in opposition filed. (Distributed)
  6. Nov 18 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including December 9, 2025, for all respondents.
  7. Nov 14 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including December 9, 2025, for all respondents.
  8. Nov 14 2025
    Motion of Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission to extend the time to file a response from November 17, 2025 to December 9, 2025, submitted to The Clerk.
  9. Nov 12 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from November 17, 2025 to December 9, 2025, submitted to The Clerk.
  10. Oct 17 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies filed.
  11. Oct 17 2025
    Brief amici curiae of Idaho, et al. filed.
  12. Oct 17 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority filed.
  13. Oct 17 2025
    Brief amicus curiae of Safari Club International filed.
  14. Oct 02 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including November 17, 2025, for all respondents. See Rule 30.1.
  15. Oct 01 2025
    Motion of respondent Kuskokwim River Intertribal Fish Commission to extend the time to file a response from October 17, 2025 to November 16, 2025, submitted to The Clerk.
  16. Sep 15 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 17, 2025)