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Trevor Murray v. UBS Securities, LLC, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 20-4202, 21-56 · judgment February 10, 2025


Certiorari denied · November 24, 2025
Pre-decision estimate: 4% cert probability

Before the decision, roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before and a Second Circuit decision below, and down for a business respondent.

Question presented

Two Terms ago, in this very case, the Court unanimously held that the Second Circuit had erred in adding an atextual element to a whistleblower’s initial burden and remanded for further proceedings. Murray v. UBS Securities, LLC, 144 S. Ct. 445 (2024). Despite UBS’s urging, this Court did not resolve an important question: the meaning of the phrase “contributing factor” in 49 U.S.C. § 42121(b), the statutory provision whose two-part burden-shifting framework governs whistleblower protection claims across a variety of industries. Id. at 455 n.2. On remand, the Second Circuit squarely resolved the question by rejecting the definition that every other circuit to address the issue has adopted. The question presented is: Whether a “contributing factor” in Section 42121(b) is one that “alone or in connection with other factors, tends to affect in any way the outcome of the decision,” a definition eight circuits have adopted but the Second Circuit rejected?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Robert Lloyd Herbst
Herbst Law PLLC

For respondent
Eugene Scalia
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A141

Proceedings

  1. Nov 24 2025
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Nov 05 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 11/21/2025.
  3. Nov 05 2025
    Reply of petitioner Trevor Murray filed. (Distributed)
  4. Oct 20 2025
    Brief of respondents UBS Securities, LLC, et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Oct 08 2025
    Brief amici curiae of Senator Ron Wyden, et al. filed.
  6. Sep 15 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including November 7, 2025.
  7. Sep 12 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from October 8, 2025 to November 7, 2025, submitted to The Clerk.
  8. Sep 04 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 8, 2025)
  9. Aug 05 2025
    Application (25A141) granted by Justice Sotomayor extending the time to file until September 4, 2025.
  10. Jul 31 2025
    Application (25A141) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from August 14, 2025 to September 4, 2025, submitted to Justice Sotomayor.