Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Independent Specialty Insurance Company v. Apex Hospitality Group, L.L.C.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 25-30107 · judgment February 4, 2026
1%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
Conference-stage estimate: 7%
GVR risk 3%
Well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.
Question presented
The question presented is whether federal common law or state law determines whether a nonsignatory can use equitable estoppel principles to enforce arbitration agreements governed by the Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Raymond Chandler Lewis
Deutsch Kerrigan LLP
For respondent
Michael Lane
Lane Law Group L.L.C.
Case
Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference
Proceedings
- Aug 17 2026Response Requested. (Due September 16, 2026)
- Aug 12 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Jun 02 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due July 29, 2026)