Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Matthew Putra, Director of the Detroit Field Office of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, et al. v. Juan Manuel Lopez-Campos, et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, No. 25-1965, 25-1969, 25-1978, 25-1982 · judgment May 11, 2026
51%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 36%–65%
Conference-stage estimate: 46%
About 12.3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a federal-government petitioner, a petition filed soon after the judgment below, and counsel who has won certiorari before.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General
For respondent
Michael King Thomas Tan
American Civil Liberties Union Foundation
Case
Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference
Amicus briefs
4 cert-stage
Proceedings
- Sep 25 2026Letter of respondents Juan Manuel Lopez-Campos, et al. received.
- Sep 14 2026Letter of September 14, 2026 from counsel for respondent submitted. (Distributed)
- Sep 09 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Sep 04 2026Reply of petitioners Matthew Putra, et al. filed. (Distributed)
- Aug 24 2026Brief of respondents Juan Manuel Lopez-Campos, et al. in opposition filed.
- Jul 24 2026Brief amicus curiae of America First Legal Foundation filed.
- Jul 24 2026Brief amicus curiae of America's Future filed.
- Jul 24 2026Brief amicus curiae of Federation For American Immigration Reform filed.
- Jul 21 2026Brief amici curiae of Iowa, et al. filed.
- Jul 10 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including August 24, 2026.
- Jul 09 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response from July 24, 2026 to August 24, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
- Jun 24 2026Pursuant to Rule 34.6 and Paragraph 9 of the Guidelines for the Submission of Documents to the Supreme Court's Electronic Filing System, filings in this case should be submitted in paper form only, and should not be submitted through the Court's electronic filing system.
- Jun 22 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due July 24, 2026)