Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Richard Hershey v. City of Bossier City, Louisiana, et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 21-30754 · judgment October 7, 2025
22%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 14%–33%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
At the Oct 16 conference: granted 6.4% · GVR 10% · relisted 73% · denied 10%
Granted ever, conference-stage estimate: 30%
About 5.4× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Fifth Circuit decision below, and a circuit split argued in the petition, and down for a state or local-government respondent.
Question presented
NATHAN W. KELLUM FIRST LIBERTY INSTITUTE 699 Oakleaf Office Lane Suite 107 Memphis, TN 38117 Sarah Giglio GILMER & GIGLIO, L.L.C. 3541 Youree Dr. Shreveport, LA 71105
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Paul D. Clement
Clement & Murphy, PLLC
For respondent
Jeffrey B. Wall
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP
Proceedings
- Oct 13 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/16/2026.
- Oct 05 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/9/2026.
- Sep 02 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Sep 01 2026Reply of petitioner Richard Hershey filed. (Distributed)
- Aug 17 2026Brief of respondents City of Bossier City, et al. in opposition filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of Beacon Center of Tennessee filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amici curiae of U.S. Representative Nathaniel Moran, et al. filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of The Coalition for Jewish Values filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of Heartbeat International filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amici curiae of Cato Institute, et al. filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of Young America's Foundation filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amici curiae of Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, et al. filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of Jewish Coalition For Religious Liberty filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amici curiae of Coalition of Virtue, et al. filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of The Christian Vegetarian Association filed.
- Jul 16 2026Brief amicus curiae of The Buckeye Institute filed.
- Jul 15 2026Brief amicus curiae of National Religious Broadcasters filed.
- Jul 15 2026Brief amici curiae of CatholicVote, et al. filed.
- Jul 15 2026Brief amicus curiae of American Center for Law and Justice filed.
- Jul 14 2026Brief amicus curiae of Manhattan Institute filed.
- Jul 02 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including August 17, 2026, for all respondents.
- Jul 01 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response from July 16, 2026 to August 17, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
- Jun 12 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due July 16, 2026)
- May 04 2026Application (25A992) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until June 12, 2026.
- Apr 30 2026Application (25A992) to extend further the time from May 13, 2026 to June 12, 2026, submitted to Justice Alito.
- Mar 11 2026Application (25A992) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until May 13, 2026.
- Mar 06 2026Application (25A992) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from April 13, 2026 to May 13, 2026, submitted to Justice Alito.