Supreme Court Report

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ON24, Inc., et al. v. Leadersel Innotech ESG

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 24-2204 · judgment January 7, 2026


9%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 6%–12%
Rule 10: circuit split argued
At the Nov 6 conference: granted 1.1% · GVR 4.4% · relisted 38% · denied 56%
Granted ever, conference-stage estimate: 10%

About 2.1× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a business petitioner.

Questions presented

Section 11(a) of the Securities Act of 1933 imposes liability when a registration statement “contain[s] an untrue statement of a material fact or omit[s] to state a material fact required to be stated therein or necessary to make the statements therein not misleading.” 15 U.S.C. § 77k(a). This petition presents three important and recurring legal questions regarding the “omissions” clause of the statute:

  1. Whether an issuer violates Section 11(a)’s misleading-omissions prong by describing unmaterialized risks as hypothetical.

  2. Whether an issuer violates Section 11(a)’s misleading-omissions prong whenever it omits information related to a disclosed fact regardless of whether the omission renders an affirmative statement misleading.

  3. Whether an issuer violates Item 303 of Regulation S-K—and thus the prong of Section 11(a) prohibiting the omission of required statements—by failing to disclose immaterial facts as “known trends or uncertainties” that are reasonably likely to have a material impact on financial results.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Brian Robert Matsui
Morrison & Foerster LLP

For respondent
Alfred Louis Fatale III
Labaton Keller Sucharow LLP

Case

Subject area
Economic Activity (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Proceedings

  1. Oct 07 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 11/6/2026.
  2. Oct 06 2026
    Reply of petitioners ON24, Inc., et al. filed. (Distributed)
  3. Sep 21 2026
    Brief of respondent Leadersel Innotech ESG in opposition filed.
  4. Aug 12 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 21, 2026.
  5. Aug 10 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 21, 2026 to September 21, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  6. Jul 22 2026
    Response Requested. (Due August 21, 2026)
  7. Jul 15 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  8. Jul 13 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Leadersel Innotech ESG to respond filed.
  9. Jun 08 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due July 13, 2026)