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Nexstar Media Group, Inc., et al. v. DirecTV, LLC

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 24-981 · judgment December 16, 2025


Certiorari denied · October 5, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 19% cert probability (95% interval 12%–30%)

Before the decision, about 4.7× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a Second Circuit decision below, and a petition citing three to ten dissents, and down for a business respondent.

Question presented

To bring an antitrust damages action, a private plaintiff must first establish “antitrust standing.” The antitrust standing doctrine sets a higher bar than Article III and requires that a plaintiff’s injury be proximately caused by the alleged violation and be the type of injury that the antitrust laws were designed to address. Consistent with that principle, the Ninth and Tenth Circuits have held that a plaintiff who declines to purchase an allegedly overpriced product generally lacks antitrust standing because its damages are necessarily speculative and indirect. But in the decision below, the Second Circuit split from that settled rule and held that a plaintiff had antitrust standing to pursue a price-fixing claim based on hypothetical lost revenue indirectly caused by the decision not to purchase from the alleged conspiracy. The question presented is: Whether a plaintiff has antitrust standing to recover purported downstream losses flowing from its decision not to purchase an allegedly price-fixed product.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Lauren Willard Zehmer
Covington & Burling LLP

For respondent
Paul Alessio Mezzina
King & Spalding LLP

Case

Subject area
Economic Activity (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Order
Order list, October 5, 2026 · Certiorari denied

Proceedings

  1. Oct 05 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Sep 09 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  3. Sep 04 2026
    Reply of petitioners Nexstar Media Group, Inc., et al. filed. (Distributed)
  4. Aug 21 2026
    Brief of respondent DirecTV, LLC in opposition filed.
  5. Jun 26 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including August 21, 2026.
  6. Jun 25 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from July 23, 2026 to August 21, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  7. Jun 23 2026
    Response Requested. (Due July 23, 2026)
  8. Jun 09 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/25/2026.
  9. Jun 01 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent DirecTV, LLC to respond filed.
  10. Apr 28 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due June 1, 2026)