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National Association of Realtors v. United States, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, No. 23-5065 · judgment April 5, 2024


Certiorari denied · January 13, 2025
Pre-decision estimate: 8% cert probability (95% interval 5%–12%)

Before the decision, about 1.9× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a D.C. Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

Whether the United States enjoys greater rights than a private party to withdraw from a contract based solely on its determination that it no longer wishes to be bound by that contract.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Christopher George Michel
Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan, LLP

For respondent
Elizabeth B. Prelogar
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Jan 13 2025
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Dec 24 2024
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/10/2025.
  3. Dec 23 2024
    Reply of petitioner National Association of Realtors filed. (Distributed)
  4. Dec 10 2024
    Brief of respondents United States, et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Nov 08 2024
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including December 10, 2024.
  6. Nov 07 2024
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from November 14, 2024 to December 10, 2024, submitted to The Clerk.
  7. Oct 10 2024
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 14, 2024)