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Facebook, Inc. v. Rosemarie Vargas, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 21-16499 · judgment October 13, 2023


Certiorari denied · February 20, 2024
Pre-decision estimate: 18% cert probability (95% interval 13%–23%)

Before the decision, about 4.3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

Twelve of the thirteen courts of appeals have held that in analyzing whether a plaintiff has alleged Article III standing, courts must apply the plausibility standard set out in Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544 (2007), and Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662 (2009). But the Ninth Circuit has held that plausibility is “ill-suited” to questions of Article III standing, Maya v. Centex Corp., 658 F.3d 1060, 1067-68 (9th Cir. 2011), and that courts analyzing allegations of standing should instead demand only “ ‘general factual allegations of injury,’ ” id.; accord Ernest Bock, LLC v. Steelman, 76 F.4th 827, 835 (9th Cir. 2023). Here, a divided panel of the Ninth Circuit applied that antiquated standard, over a dissent that would have applied Twombly and Iqbal. And rather than grant rehearing to resolve the 12–1 circuit conflict, the panel later amended its opinion to delete its reference to Ninth Circuit precedent that rejects the Twombly-Iqbal plausibility standard, while leaving the rest of its analysis untouched. The question presented is: Does the Twombly-Iqbal plausibility standard apply to a plaintiff ’s allegations of Article III standing?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Theodore J. Boutrous Jr.
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP

For respondent
Gerard V. Mantese
Mantese Honigman, PC

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Feb 20 2024
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Jan 24 2024
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/16/2024.
  3. Jan 19 2024
    Waiver of right of respondent Rosemarie Vargas, et al. to respond filed.
  4. Jan 11 2024
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due February 16, 2024)