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Arizona v. Brian Mecinas, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 20-16301 · judgment May 11, 2022


Certiorari denied · December 12, 2022
Pre-decision estimate: 15% cert probability (95% interval 11%–20%)

Before the decision, about 3.7× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a petition filed soon after the judgment below, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a circuit split argued in the petition.

Questions presented

The Democratic National Committee (the “DNC”) sued Katie Hobbs, the Arizona Secretary of State, asserting that Arizona’s ballot order statute was unconstitutional. Finding that the DNC lacked Article III standing and that the claim raised a nonjusticiable political question, the district court dismissed the action. In a published opinion, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals reversed the district court and remanded. By then, Secretary Hobbs had announced she was running as a Democratic candidate for Governor, and she would not commit to seeking further appellate review of the case. Within the 14-day period to seek rehearing, the State of Arizona thus moved to intervene and also moved for rehearing en banc. The DNC and Secretary Hobbs then filed a stipulated dismissal of the district court action. On the same day, they also filed oppositions to the State’s motion to intervene, arguing that the court should deny the State’s motion as both untimely and moot. The State then filed an alternative motion to vacate the Ninth Circuit’s opinion under U.S. v. Munsingwear, Inc., 340 U.S. 36 (1950). By a 2-1 vote, the Ninth Circuit denied the State’s motion for intervention as untimely. The court also denied the alternative motion for vacatur. The questions presented are:

  1. Whether the motion to intervene was timely.

  2. Whether the opinion below should be vacated as moot under Munsingwear.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Mark C. Dangerfield
Gallagher & Kennedy, P.A.

For respondent
Jessica Ring Amunson
Jenner & Block LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Proceedings

  1. Dec 12 2022
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Nov 22 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 12/9/2022.
  3. Nov 21 2022
    Reply of petitioner Arizona filed. (Distributed)
  4. Nov 07 2022
    Brief of respondent Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs in opposition filed.
  5. Oct 07 2022
    Response Requested. (Due November 7, 2022)
  6. Sep 28 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/14/2022.
  7. Sep 26 2022
    Reply of petitioner Arizona filed. (Distributed)
  8. Sep 12 2022
    Waiver of right of respondent Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs to respond filed.
  9. Sep 12 2022
    Brief of respondents Brian Mecinas, et al. in opposition filed.
  10. Aug 05 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 12, 2022, for all respondents.
  11. Aug 04 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 11, 2022 to September 12, 2022, submitted to The Clerk.
  12. Jul 07 2022
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 11, 2022)