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Max Ray Butler v. S. Porter, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 19-30029 · judgment June 2, 2021


Certiorari denied · January 10, 2022
Pre-decision estimate: 6% cert probability (95% interval 4%–8%)

Before the decision, modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Fifth Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

(continued from front cover) JAMES T. DAWSON PARKER J. CRAGG VINSON & ELKINS LLP VINSON & ELKINS LLP 2200 Pennsylvania 1001 Fannin Street Avenue NW Suite 2500 Washington, DC 20037 Houston, TX 77002 Counsel for Petitioner

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Jorge Benjamin Aguinaga
Jones Day

For respondent
Elizabeth B. Prelogar
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Proceedings

  1. Feb 28 2022
    Rehearing DENIED.
  2. Feb 09 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/25/2022.
  3. Feb 04 2022
  4. Jan 10 2022
    Petition DENIED.
  5. Dec 08 2021
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/7/2022.
  6. Nov 30 2021
    Waiver of right of respondent S. Porter, et al. to respond filed.
  7. Nov 01 2021
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due December 3, 2021)