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Ryan Costello v. Carol Ann Carter, et al.

Paid petition · Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, Middle District, No. 7 MM 2022 · judgment February 23, 2022


Certiorari denied · October 3, 2022
Pre-decision estimate: 4% cert probability

Before the decision, roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel with five or more prior petitions here, a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and a petition filed soon after the judgment below.

Question presented

The Elections Clause provides that “the Legislature” of each state must prescribe “the Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives.” U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1. Yet sometimes the state judiciary must draw a congressional map in response to a constitutional violation or legislative impasse. When state courts impose a congressional map in these situations, they often act as though they enjoy the prerogative to impose a map of their choosing, unconstrained by the requirements of Elections Clause or 2 U.S.C. § 2a(c), a federal statute that establishes a default regime when the state legislature fails to enact a congressional map in response to the decennial census. The state of Pennsylvania lost a congressional seat in the most recent census. Its Republican-controlled legislature passed a reasonable, non-gerrymandered map that would have created a 9-8 majority of Democraticleaning congressional districts. But Governor Wolf vetoed this 9-8 Democratic map, calling it “unfair” and insufficiently “bipartisan.” In response to this impasse, the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania — which has a 5-2 Democratic majority — imposed a more partisan Democratic map backed by the Elias Law Group, overruling the recommendation of its special master that had urged the adoption of the legislature’s plan. The question presented is: Do the Elections Clause and 2 U.S.C. § 2a(c) constrain the remedial discretion of courts when they impose congressional maps in response to a constitutional violation or an impasse in the state legislature? (i)

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Jonathan F. Mitchell
Mitchell Law PLLC

For respondent
Jessica Ring Amunson
Jenner & Block LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Oct 03 2022
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Sep 26 2022
    Reply of petitioner Ryan Costello filed. (Distributed)
  3. Aug 31 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2022.
  4. Aug 16 2022
    Brief of respondents Pennsylvania Senator Jay Costa, Jr., et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Aug 16 2022
    Brief of respondents Leigh M. Chapman, Jessica Mathis, Tom Wolf in opposition filed.
  6. Aug 16 2022
    Brief of respondents Carter Respondents in opposition filed.
  7. Aug 16 2022
    Letter of Philip T. Gressman, et al. submitted.
  8. Jul 21 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including August 16, 2022, for all respondents.
  9. Jul 20 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 1, 2022 to August 16, 2022, submitted to The Clerk.
  10. Jun 17 2022
    The motions of respondets to extend the time to file responses are granted and the time is extended to and including August 1, 2022, for all respondents.
  11. Jun 15 2022
    Motion of respondents Leigh M. Champman, et al. to extend the time to file a response from July 1, 2022 to August 1, 2022, submitted to The Clerk.
  12. Jun 15 2022
    Motion of respondents Carol A. Carter, et al. to extend the time to file a response from July 1, 2022 to August 1, 2022, submitted to The Clerk.
  13. May 24 2022
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due July 1, 2022)