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Missouri, et al. v. Joseph R. Biden, Jr., President of the United States, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit, No. 21-3725 · judgment April 11, 2022


Certiorari denied · October 3, 2022
Pre-decision estimate: 12% cert probability (95% interval 7%–20%)

Before the decision, about 3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a petition filed soon after the judgment below, an Eighth Circuit decision below, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Questions presented

On November 5, 2021, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) issued its vaccine mandate for workers in most federally funded healthcare facilities. 86 Fed. Reg. 61,555-61,627 (“Mandate”). On January 13, 2022, this Court stayed the district court’s preliminary injunction against the Mandate, Biden v. Missouri, 142 S. Ct. 647 (2022) (per curiam), and thus necessarily determined that there is “a reasonable probability that four Justices will consider the issue sufficiently meritorious to grant certiorari.” Hollingsworth v. Perry, 558 U.S. 183, 190 (2010). Indeed, four Justices in Missouri noted that “there is no real dispute that this case merits our review.” Missouri, 142 S. Ct. at 655 (Thomas, J., dissenting). After the agency imposed a 90-day delay, the Mandate went into full effect on April 15, 2022, and the Petitioner States are now experiencing its devastating consequences—especially on their small, rural, and community-based healthcare systems. The Questions Presented are:

  1. Whether the Mandate violates the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) because it is arbitrary, capricious, and unlawful?

  2. Whether the Mandate is unconstitutional under the Spending Clause, the anti-commandeering doctrine, and the Tenth Amendment?

  3. Whether the Mandate violates the APA because it was issued without notice and comment?

  4. Whether the Mandate exceeds CMS’s statutory authority?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
D. John Sauer
Office of the Attorney General

For respondent
Elizabeth B. Prelogar
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Oct 03 2022
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Sep 09 2022
    Reply of petitioners Missouri, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  3. Jul 06 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2022.
  4. Jun 21 2022
    Brief of respondents Joseph R. Biden, Jr., President of the United States, et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Jun 21 2022
    Amicus brief of Center for Medical Freedom, et al. not accepted for filing.(Corrected version submitted) (June 24, 2022)
  6. Jun 21 2022
    Brief amici curiae of America's Future, et al. filed.
  7. May 12 2022
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due June 21, 2022)