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Mike Kowall, et al. v. Jocelyn Benson, Michigan Secretary of State

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, No. 21-1129 · judgment November 17, 2021


Certiorari denied · October 3, 2022
Pre-decision estimate: 5% cert probability

Before the decision, roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and a Sixth Circuit decision below, and down for a state or local-government respondent.

Questions presented

Michigan’s state legislative term limits—the shortest and harshest in the nation—impose an absolute ban on the participation of a certain category of candidates: experienced legislators. And while Michigan’s sovereign interest in structuring its government may be entitled to some deference, that does not mean the State gets a free pass under the First Amendment. To the contrary, the First Amendment guarantees the “rights of expression and association” including the “important interest in the continued availability of political opportunity.” Lubin v. Panish, 415 U.S. 709, 710, 715 (1974). And courts should be skeptical of restrictions that bar candidacy for political office “without reference to the candidates’ support in the electoral process,” U.S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton, 514 U.S. 779, 835 (1995). The two questions presented are:

  1. Whether candidate qualifications should be subjected merely to rational-basis review, as the Sixth Circuit concluded below, or some heightened level of scrutiny, as five other circuits and four state courts of last resort have held.

  2. Whether Michigan’s lifetime term limits—the shortest and harshest in the nation—violate candidates’ and voters’ First and Fourteenth Amendment rights.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
John J. Bursch
Bursch Law PLLC

For respondent
Fadwa A. Hammoud
Michigan Department of Attorney General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
21A382

Proceedings

  1. Oct 03 2022
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Sep 15 2022
    Reply of petitioners Mike Kowall, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  3. Aug 17 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2022.
  4. Aug 01 2022
    Brief of respondent Jocelyn Benson, Michigan Secretary of State in opposition filed.
  5. Aug 01 2022
    Brief amicus curiae of U.S. Term Limits filed.
  6. Jun 10 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including August 1, 2022.
  7. Jun 09 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from June 30, 2022 to August 1, 2022, submitted to The Clerk.
  8. May 31 2022
    Response Requested. (Due June 30, 2022)
  9. May 17 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 6/2/2022.
  10. May 10 2022
    Waiver of right of respondent Jocelyn Benson, Michigan Secretary of State to respond filed.
  11. Apr 15 2022
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due May 19, 2022)
  12. Feb 02 2022
    Application (21A382) granted by Justice Kavanaugh extending the time to file until April 16, 2022.
  13. Jan 28 2022
    Application (21A382) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from February 15, 2022 to April 16, 2022, submitted to Justice Kavanaugh.