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Andrew M. Saul, Commissioner of Social Security v. Lisa Probst, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, No. 19-1529, 19-1531 · judgment November 20, 2020

Certiorari denied · May 17, 2021
Pre-decision estimate: 18% cert probability (95% interval 12%–26%)

Before the decision, about 4.3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a federal-government petitioner, counsel who has won certiorari before, and a Fourth Circuit decision below.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Brian H. Fletcher
Acting Solicitor General

For respondent
Charlotte Williams Hall
Arrowood and Hall, PLLC

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. May 17 2021
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Apr 27 2021
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/13/2021.
  3. Apr 23 2021
    Waiver of right of respondent Lisa Probst, et al. to respond filed.
  4. Apr 19 2021
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due May 21, 2021)
  5. Apr 19 2021
    Pursuant to Rule 34.6 and Paragraph 9 of the Guidelines for the Submission of Documents to the Supreme Court's Electronic Filing System, filings in this case should be submitted in paper form only, and shouild not be submitted through the Court's electronic filing system.