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Assured Guaranty Corp., et al. v. Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, No. 18-1165, 18-1166 · judgment March 26, 2019

Certiorari denied · January 13, 2020

Pre-decision estimate: 12% cert probability (95% interval 7%–20%)

Before the decision, about 3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a First Circuit decision below, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and down for a business respondent.

Question presented

JONATHAN POLKES THOMAS P. SCHMIDT MARCIA GOLDSTEIN HOGAN LOVELLS US LLP GREGORY SILBERT 390 Madison Ave. KELLY DIBLASI New York, NY 10017 GABRIEL A. MORGAN WEIL, GOTSHAL & Counsel for Petitioners MANGES LLP 767 Fifth Avenue New York, NY 10153 Counsel for National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Neal Kumar Katyal
Milbank LLP

For respondent
Martin J. Bienenstock
Proskauer Rose LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Proceedings

Jan 13 2020
Petition DENIED.
Dec 11 2019
DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/10/2020.
Dec 11 2019
Reply of petitioners Assured Guaranty Corp., et al. filed.
Nov 25 2019
Brief of respondents Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico, et al. in opposition filed.
Nov 01 2019
Waiver of right of respondent Official Committee of Unsecured Creditors to respond filed.
Oct 24 2019
Brief amicus curiae of Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association filed.
Oct 02 2019
Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including November 25, 2019.
Sep 30 2019
Motion to extend the time to file a response from October 24, 2019 to November 25, 2019, submitted to The Clerk.
Sep 20 2019
Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 24, 2019)