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Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, et al. v. Jane Doe 2, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, No. 18-5257

Certiorari denied · January 22, 2019
Pre-decision estimate: 52% cert probability (95% interval 36%–68%)

Before the decision, about 12.6× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a federal-government petitioner, counsel who has won certiorari before, and a D.C. Circuit decision below.

Question presented

In 2018, Secretary of Defense James Mattis announced a new policy concerning military service by transgender individuals. Under the Mattis policy, transgender individuals would be permitted to serve in the military, while individuals with a history of a medical condition called gender dysphoria would be disqualified from military service unless they meet certain conditions. The question presented is: Whether the district court erred in preliminarily enjoining the military from implementing the Mattis policy nationwide. (I)

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Noel John Francisco
Jones Day

For respondent
Paul Reinherz Quitman Wolfson
Democracy Forward

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
18A626

Proceedings

  1. Jan 22 2019
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Jan 22 2019
    Application (18A626) denied by The Chief Justice.
  3. Jan 14 2019
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/18/2019.
  4. Jan 04 2019
    Reply of applicant Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, et al. filed.
  5. Jan 04 2019
    Reply of petitioners Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, et al. filed. VIDED. (Distributed)
  6. Jan 04 2019
    Letter of petitioners Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, et al. filed. VIDED. (Distributed)
  7. Dec 28 2018
    Response to application from respondent Jane Doe 2, et al. filed.
  8. Dec 26 2018
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/11/2019.
  9. Dec 24 2018
    Brief of respondents Jane Doe 2, et al. in opposition filed.
  10. Dec 19 2018
    Brief amicus curiae of Eagle Forum Education & Legal Defense Fund filed. VIDED.
  11. Dec 13 2018
    Application (18A626) for a stay, submitted to The Chief Justice.
  12. Dec 13 2018
    Response to application (18A626) requested by The Chief Justice, due Friday, December 28, 2018, by noon ET.
  13. Nov 23 2018
    Petition for a writ of certiorari before judgment filed. (Response due December 24, 2018)